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Populations & Evolution

Population dynamics, evolutionary biology, and epidemiological modeling.

q-bio.PE · 101 papers

Information on hidden birth events restores identifiability in phylodynamic inference

This paper shows that information on hidden birth events, especially mutations at birth, restores parameter identifiability in phylodynamic inference.

2604.17926Apr 20, 2026Tobias Dieselhorst, Tanja Stadler

Evolution as fitness landscape navigation: Concepts, Measures, and Emerging Questions

This review clarifies concepts, measures, and open questions in fitness landscape navigation, proposing a new navigability metric.

2604.17036Apr 18, 2026Malvika Srivastava, Claudia Bank, Joachim Krug +1

Phase transitions in microbial lineage trees

This paper demonstrates how phase transitions arise in microbial populations, linking them to genealogies and setting a lower bound for stable plasmid maintenance.

2604.16065Apr 17, 2026Kaan Öcal, Syrine Ghrabli, Michael P. H. Stumpf

From Physical Difference to Meaning: A Constructor-Theoretic Framework for Prebiotic Information in Casimir-Lifshitz-Coupled Protocell Clusters

This paper uses Constructor Theory to model how information and meaning could emerge prebiotically in Casimir-Lifshitz-coupled protocell clusters.

2604.20885Apr 17, 2026Michael Massoth

Synchronized disease and behavioural dynamics in weakly coupled populations

This paper shows that weak social coupling between populations can synchronize disease and vaccination dynamics, with payoff sensitivity determining synchronization type.

2604.14483Apr 15, 2026Xinxuan Wang, Youngmin Park, Bryce Morsky

A generative model for bipartite gene-sharing networks

This paper proposes a two-parameter generative model for bipartite gene-sharing networks, explaining observed gene and genome degree distributions.

2604.13963Apr 15, 2026Jaime Iranzo, Pedro Jódar, Eugene V. Koonin +2

What good is modeling? Introducing biology students to theory

This paper details a graduate course designed to help biology students with limited math backgrounds understand theoretical papers using modern teaching methods.

2604.13344Apr 14, 2026Joanna Masel, Anna Dornhaus

An abstract model of nonrandom, non-Lamarckian mutation in evolution using a multivariate estimation-of-distribution algorithm

This paper introduces a simulation model demonstrating nonrandom, non-Lamarckian mutation, aligning with Interaction-based Evolution (IBE).

2604.12884Apr 14, 2026Liudmyla Vasylenko, Adi Livnat

Predicting success of cooperators across arbitrary heterogeneous environmental landscapes

A new framework and Spatial Correlation Index (SCI) predict how environmental heterogeneity and spatial organization determine the success of cooperation.

2604.12546Apr 14, 2026Amir Kargaran, Kamran Kaveh, Krishnendu Chatterjee

Phylogenetic Inference under the Balanced Minimum Evolution Criterion via Semidefinite Programming

This paper applies Semidefinite Programming (SDP) to solve the Balanced Minimum Evolution (BME) problem for accurate phylogenetic inference.

2604.12164Apr 14, 2026P. Skums

Modeling of Pneumococcal and Respiratory Syncytial Virus Pneumonia: An Epidemiological Review, with Statistical Inference

This review synthesizes recent epidemiological models for vaccine-preventable pneumococcal and RSV pneumonia, aiding public health strategies.

2604.19805Apr 13, 2026Rupchand Sutradhar, Anuj Mishra, Malay Banerjee +1

Fixation probabilities for multi-allele Moran dynamics with weak selection

A new perturbative framework computes fixation probabilities for multi-allele Moran dynamics under weak selection, extending analytical understanding.

2604.12004Apr 13, 2026Ian Braga, Lucas Wardil, Ricardo Martinez-Garcia

Can AI Detect Life? Lessons from Artificial Life

AI methods for detecting extraterrestrial life are easily fooled by out-of-distribution samples, leading to high false positives.

2604.11915Apr 13, 2026Ankit Gupta, Christoph Adami

The origin of the genetic code is encrypted in the structure of present-day transfer RNAs

Present-day tRNA structures from Bacillus subtilis provide a genealogical tree that encrypts the evolutionary timeline of the genetic code.

2604.11696Apr 13, 2026Jacques H. Daniel

Will a Large Complex System be Stable? Revisited

This paper re-examines Robert May's complexity-stability debate using a new mathematical approach, challenging his original conclusion.

2604.11555Apr 13, 2026Michael Thorne

Neutralization titers reveal the structure of polyclonal antibody responses

A new method uses neutralization titers to quantitatively predict polyclonal antibody response structure, avoiding complex experimental measurements.

2604.11451Apr 13, 2026Henry Alston, Thierry Mora, Aleksandra M. Walczak

Strategy evolution on networks under payoff uncertainty and risk preference

This paper explores how individual risk preferences and network structure influence the evolution of cooperation under uncertain social interactions.

2604.11354Apr 13, 2026Jiapeng Yu, Anzhi Sheng, Long Wang

How complex behavioural contagion can prevent infectious diseases from becoming endemic

This paper shows that complex behavioral contagion, where behavior uptake is nonlinear, can lead to disease elimination, even for high R0.

2604.10995Apr 13, 2026Michael J. Plank, Matt Ryan, Lloyd Chapman +4

A molecular clock for writing systems reveals the quantitative impact of imperial power on cultural evolution

This paper reveals a molecular clock for writing systems, showing how imperial power significantly alters their evolution and leads to extinctions.

2604.10957Apr 13, 2026Hiroki Fukui

Kinetic models of opinion-driven epidemic dynamics modulated by graphons

This paper introduces kinetic models to simulate opinion-driven epidemic dynamics on social networks represented by graphons, showing how opinions and leaders affect disease spread.

2604.10614Apr 12, 2026Andrea Bondesan, Jacopo Borsotti, Mattia Fontana
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