General Economics
Broad economic research including computational and behavioral economics.
econ.GN · 114 papersHuman-Provenance Verification should be Treated as Labor Infrastructure in AI-Saturated Markets
AI-saturated markets will value verified human presence, making human-provenance verification crucial labor infrastructure for future economies.
The Rise of Negative Earnings and Demand Shifting Investment
This paper documents a secular rise in negative earnings among US firms, linking it to demand-shifting investment and a significant GDP decline.
What Jobs Can AI Learn? Measuring Exposure by Reinforcement Learning
This paper introduces an RL Feasibility Index to measure which jobs AI can learn, diverging from existing AI exposure metrics.
Compound Attrition Games: A Unified Model for Inter- and Intra-Coalition Rivalry
This paper introduces the Compound Coalition-Attrition Game (CCAG), a unified model for strategic competitions involving both external rivalry and internal conflicts within coalitions.
Remote work expands pathways to upward career mobility
Remote work significantly boosts wage and seniority growth, especially for lower-income workers, by decoupling job opportunities from geographic location.
RSDM: The Consensus Honest Money in the AI Era
RSDM proposes a globally recognized, self-devaluing tokenized commodity money for AI-driven cross-border transactions, resisting fiat depreciation.
An Adaptive Variable Neighborhood Search for a Family of Set Covering Routing Problems with an Application in Disaster Relief Operations
This paper introduces an Adaptive Variable Neighborhood Search (AVNS) to solve Set Covering Routing Problems for efficient disaster relief logistics.
Urban Science Beyond Samples: Up-to-Date Street Network Models and Indicators for Every Urban Area in the World
This paper offers global, up-to-date street network models and indicators for every urban area, enabling worldwide urban science and local analyses.
Optimal Consumption and Investment with Energy-Efficiency Adoption
This paper presents a unified economic model for optimal consumption, investment, and energy-efficiency adoption, considering uncertainty and subsidies.
The Signal Credibility Index for Prediction Markets: A Microstructure-Grounded Diagnostic with Weighted and Time-Varying Extensions
This paper formalizes and validates the Signal Credibility Index (SCI) to diagnose information quality in prediction market price movements.
Electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones in the post-crisis era
This paper comprehensively evaluates electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones post-crisis, finding LightGBM performs best.
What Drives Contagion? Identifying and Attributing Cross-Border Transmission Mechanisms
This paper introduces a two-stage framework to detect and attribute cross-border financial contagion, identifying key transmission channels across global markets.
Marshall meets Bartik: Revisiting the mysteries of the trade
Top inventor inflows causally boost local patent productivity, demonstrating knowledge spillovers and distortion by state tax differences.
The Reservation Inflation of Hard Money: Gold-Standard Deflation and the Real Expansion of Nominal Claims, 1873-1896
Gold standard deflation (1873-1896) led to "reservation inflation," where the real value of nominal claims rose despite falling consumer prices.
When Agents Shop for You: Role Coherence in AI-Mediated Markets
AI agents' natural language descriptions inadvertently reveal consumer willingness to pay to sellers, a 'preference leakage' not solvable by prompts.
General-Purpose Technology and Speculative Bubble Detection
A new method for detecting speculative bubbles accounts for general-purpose technology adoption, correcting existing test distortions and re-evaluating historical rallies.
The Short- and Long-Term Impacts of Expanding Public Education for Disabled Students
US mandates for disabled student education significantly improved long-term outcomes for disabled and non-disabled individuals, paying for themselves.
Sources of Inequality at Birth: The Interplay Between Genes and Parental Socioeconomic Status
This paper finds strong genetic and socioeconomic links to adult traits but no significant gene-environment interactions, using longitudinal data.
Property, Interest, and Money: Is Heinsohn and Steiger's Property Premium a Determinant of Interest?
This paper refutes Heinsohn and Steiger's claim that a "property premium" replaces time preference as the primary determinant of interest rates.
Optimal incentive scheme for ESG disclosure
This paper models optimal ESG disclosure incentives using a principal-agent framework, balancing incentives with risk via signal loadings and hedging.
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