General Economics
Broad economic research including computational and behavioral economics.
econ.GN · 114 papersThe Value of Information: A Puzzle
This paper measures the value of information in equity markets using price change and order flow covariance, finding it significantly lower than investor search fees.
Manipulation, Insider Information, and Regulation in Leveraged Event-Linked Markets
This paper analyzes how leverage impacts manipulation and informed trading in event-linked markets, proposing a new taxonomy and regulatory recommendations.
Generative AI Fuels Solo Entrepreneurship, but Teams Still Lead at the Top
Generative AI increases solo entrepreneurship, especially in team-favored categories, but top-tier success still belongs to team-based ventures.
From Expansion to Consolidation: Socio-Spatial Contagion Dynamics in Off-Grid PV Adoption
This paper uses deep learning and remote sensing to show how socio-spatial contagion drives off-grid solar panel adoption, shifting from expansion to consolidation.
On the probability distribution of long-term changes in the growth rate of the global economy: An outside view
This paper uses an "outside view" historical model to predict global economic growth, challenging the common "inside view" and suggesting inevitable GWP explosion.
Little Impact of ChatGPT Availability on High School Student Test Score Performance
This paper finds no meaningful impact of ChatGPT availability on high school student test score performance, suggesting varied uses balance out.
Nash without Numbers: A Social Choice Approach to Mixed Equilibria in Context-Ordinal Games
Introduces context-ordinal Nash equilibrium, generalizing classical Nash by using ordinal preferences instead of precise utilities for broader applicability.
Introducing Feedback Thinking and System Dynamics Modeling in Economics Education
This paper explores integrating feedback thinking and System Dynamics modeling into economics education, discussing opportunities, barriers, and teaching approaches.
Cascading disruptions in natural gas, fertilizers, and crops drive structural food supply vulnerabilities globally
This paper models cascading disruptions in natural gas, fertilizers, and crops, revealing increasing global food supply vulnerabilities.
Migration-Driven Demographic Changes: effects on local communities in the canton of Fribourg
This study analyzes how migration impacts demographic, educational, and housing outcomes in Fribourg, Switzerland, finding modest but persistent adjustments.
Artificial Aesthetics: The Implicit Economics of Valuing AI-Generated Text
This paper finds users don't pay more for aesthetic qualities in AI text, seeing them as baseline expectations rather than premium features.
The Demand Externality of Automation
This paper models automation's economic tradeoffs, showing how it can boost productivity but also create excessive inequality depending on ownership and household characteristics.
Lithium enrichment threatens to curb fusion deployment
Lithium enrichment, crucial for fusion's tritium breeding, poses significant capital cost, scalability, and security challenges to global fusion deployment.
DAO-enabled decentralized physical AI: A new paradigm for human-machine collaboration
Proposes DAO-enabled decentralized physical AI (DePAI) for democratic human-machine collaboration in physical-digital systems.
ESG as Priced Crash Insurance: State-Dependent Tail Risk and Deconfounding Evidence
ESG functions as state-dependent crash insurance, reducing tail losses during market drawdowns, confirmed by Double Machine Learning.
Optimal Semiparametric Dynamic Pricing with Feature Diversity
This paper introduces an optimal semiparametric dynamic pricing algorithm that achieves state-of-the-art regret bounds by exploiting feature diversity.
Do Venture Capitalists Beat Random Allocation?
Venture capitalist portfolio outcomes are largely consistent with constrained random allocation, making it hard to prove aggregate skill.
The Real Interest Rate as a Control Variable in the Open Economy
This paper models the real interest rate as a control variable in an open economy, finding it's determined by utility discount rates and productivity expectations.
Fiscal Aggregation and the Limits of IS--LM--BP: Derivations, Aggregation Bias and Reproducible Adversarial Simulations
This paper critiques the IS-LM-BP framework, showing scalar fiscal aggregation is insufficient and requires vector-valued instruments for accurate policy analysis.
Did US Worker Retraining Reduce Participant Automation Exposure?
US worker retraining programs (WIOA) rarely shift participants into less automation-exposed jobs, with success mostly from wage recovery, not career change.
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