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Populations & Evolution

Population dynamics, evolutionary biology, and epidemiological modeling.

q-bio.PE · 101 papers

Catastrophe-dispersion models in random and varying environments across generations

This paper analyzes branching processes with catastrophe and dispersal in varying environments, showing survival is tied to the log-mean process.

2605.04048May 5, 2026Lucas R. de Lima, Fábio P. Machado

Inferring Phylogenetic Networks from Allowed and Forbidden LCA-Constraints

This paper introduces polynomial-time algorithms to infer phylogenetic networks from both required and forbidden least common ancestor (LCA) constraints.

2605.03827May 5, 2026Patricia A. Ebert, Marc Hellmuth

Tree-Conditioned Edit Flows for Ancestral Sequence Reconstruction

A new tree-conditioned edit-flow model reconstructs ancestral protein sequences, effectively handling insertions and deletions, unlike classical ASR methods.

2605.04119May 5, 2026Emil Sharafutdinov, Ingemar André

From Individual-Based Models to Macroscopic Dynamics of Antimicrobial Resistance

This paper introduces a kinetic framework using Boltzmann and Fokker-Planck equations to model and quantify antimicrobial resistance spread.

2605.04117May 5, 2026Marco Menale, Giuseppe Toscani, Mattia Zanella

Connecting IBD tracts and runs of homozygosity: A coalescent framework for inferring effective population size

This paper unifies IBD tracts and runs of homozygosity (ROH) within a coalescent framework to infer effective population size, accounting for various genetic factors.

2605.03498May 5, 2026Enrique Santiago

A temperature-driven diffusion model of Usutu virus spread in Germany with spillover into neighbouring countries

A temperature-driven reaction-diffusion model accurately simulates the unique clockwise spread of Usutu virus in Germany and neighboring countries.

2605.03146May 4, 2026Pride Duve, Dániel Cadar, Norbert Becker +3

Epistatic strength, modularity, and locus heterogeneity shape the number of local optima in fitness landscapes

This paper reveals how epistatic strength, modularity, and locus heterogeneity determine the number of local optima in fitness landscapes.

2605.03046May 4, 2026Mahan Ghafari, Alejandro Castro Cabrera, Alejandro Lage-Castellanos +3

Genealogical structures under interactive neutral reproduction: factorial moment duality via a Frankenstein process

This paper introduces a 'Frankenstein process' to genealogically explain moment duality in a novel interactive Moran model.

2605.02499May 4, 2026Ellen Baake, Fernando Cordero, Hannah Dopmeyer

Emergent population dynamics of random walkers with cooperative reproduction and spatial selection

This paper explores how higher-order asexual reproduction impacts population invasion dynamics, finding qualitative changes beyond binary reproduction.

2605.01770May 3, 2026Ohad Vilk, Baruch Meerson

Computational foundations of the human world

This paper proposes applying computational frameworks from theoretical computer science to study human social organization and collective decision-making.

2605.01680May 3, 2026Marcus J. Hamilton, Abhishek Yadav, Harrison Hartle +10

Equilibrium and Competition in Evolutionary Dynamics

This paper analyzes polymer growth and competition dynamics before replication, demonstrating equilibrium existence and stability in pre-replicative systems.

2605.02956May 2, 2026J. Medina Diaz, F. Peña-Garcia, Irbin Llanqui

EPITIME: A Computational Framework for Integral Epidemic Models with Structure-Preserving Discretizations

EPITIME is a computational framework for integral epidemic models using structure-preserving discretizations, ensuring accurate simulations.

2605.00067Apr 30, 2026Bruno Buonomo, Eleonora Messina, Claudia Panico +2

Incorporating the underuse problem in the tragedy of the commons

This paper models how both resource overuse and underuse can evolve as natural outcomes in common-pool resource dilemmas, depending on benefit structures.

2604.27520Apr 30, 2026Shota Shibasaki, Wakaba Tateishi, Shuhei Fujii +1

Epidemic Extinction in a Continuous SIRS Model with Vaccination

This paper studies epidemic extinction in a continuous SIRS model with vaccination, highlighting limitations of continuous models for fade-out.

2604.27312Apr 30, 2026Germano Hartmann Brill, Pablo Enrique Jurado Silvestrin, Sebastian Gonçalves

Modeling the impact of host diversity on the evolution of vector feeding preferences and implications for disease control

This paper models how host diversity and adaptive vector feeding preferences impact disease transmission, identifying key control strategies.

2604.27113Apr 29, 2026Shravani Shetgaonkar, Anupama Sharma

Degree-dependent and distance-dependent contact rates interpolate between explosive, exponential and polynomial epidemic growth

A unified agent-based model shows how contact degree and distance shape epidemic growth from explosive to polynomial rates.

2604.26939Apr 29, 2026Zylan Benjert, Júlia Komjáthy, Johannes Lengler +2

Rare but Resilient: Dispersal diversity buffers species vulnerability

A new framework quantifies species vulnerability using 'competitive balance,' revealing dispersal diversity enhances resilience.

2604.26589Apr 29, 2026Davide Bernardi, Giorgio Nicoletti, Prajwal Padmanabha +5

How is gene-regulatory evolution affected by cell-to-cell variability?

Cell-to-cell variability drives the evolution of robust, aligned gene-regulatory networks with enriched motifs.

2604.26082Apr 28, 2026Leonardo Ivan Estrella Dzib, James Holehouse

The Curse of Black Sigatoka: A Backward Bifurcation Perspective

A new model for Black Sigatoka disease reveals a backward bifurcation, explaining why reducing R0 alone fails and suggesting new control strategies.

2604.26060Apr 28, 2026Bernard Asamoah Afful, Luis F. Gordillo

From lab to outbreak: experimental mosquito extrinsic incubation period distributions shape dengue epidemic dynamics

This paper shows that using experimentally derived extrinsic incubation period distributions in dengue models delays and flattens epidemic peaks.

2604.25750Apr 28, 2026Léa Loisel, Sandie Arnoux, Gaël Beaunée +1
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