ArXiv TLDR

TabSurv: Adapting Modern Tabular Neural Networks to Survival Analysis

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2605.03944

Stanislav Kirpichenko, Andrei Konstantinov, Lev Utkin

cs.LGcs.AIstat.ML

TLDR

TabSurv adapts modern tabular neural networks to survival analysis using a novel histogram loss and deep ensembles, outperforming existing baselines.

Key contributions

  • Adapts modern tabular neural networks (MLPs, ensembles) to survival analysis problems.
  • Introduces TabSurv, utilizing either Weibull distribution or non-parametric prediction.
  • Optimizes SurvHL, a novel histogram loss function specifically designed for censored data.
  • Consistently outperforms classical and deep learning baselines on 10 diverse datasets.

Why it matters

Existing deep learning methods for survival analysis are often task-specific. TabSurv provides a general, reliable approach by adapting modern tabular neural networks, offering flexibility and strong empirical performance. Its public implementation makes it a valuable tool for researchers.

Original Abstract

Survival analysis on tabular data is a well-studied problem. However, existing deep learning methods are often highly task-specific, which can limit the transfer of new approaches from other domains and introduce constraints that may affect performance. We propose TabSurv, an approach that adapts modern tabular architectures to survival analysis using either the Weibull distribution or non-parametric survival prediction. TabSurv optimizes SurvHL, a novel histogram loss function supporting censored data. In addition to a baseline feed-forward network, we implement deep ensembles of MLPs for survival analysis within TabSurv. In contrast to prior work, the ensemble components are trained in parallel, optimizing survival distribution parameters before averaging, which promotes diversity across ensemble component predictions. We perform a comprehensive empirical evaluation of different proposed architectures on 10 diverse real-world survival datasets. Our results show that TabSurv consistently outperforms on average established classical and deep learning baselines, such as RSF, DeepSurv, DeepHit, SurvTRACE. Notably, deep ensembles with Weibull parametrization instead of non-parametric models achieve the highest average rank by C-index. Overall, our study clarifies how modern tabular neural networks can be adapted and trained to tackle survival analysis problems, offering a strong and reliable approach. The TabSurv implementation is publicly available.

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