ArXiv TLDR

Mean tropical year length at arbitrary ecliptic longitude

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2605.02239

Daniel Quigley

astro-ph.EPastro-ph.IMphysics.hist-ph

TLDR

This paper calculates mean tropical year lengths at eight specific ecliptic longitudes to help tune calendar leap rules, validating results.

Key contributions

  • Calculates mean tropical year lengths for eight specific ecliptic longitudes (cardinal and cross-quarter points).
  • Builds on Meeus's solar theory, providing derivations from Smart's textbook for coefficients.
  • Validates numerical accuracy against existing cardinal-point intervals from Meeus's work.
  • Derives the secular drift equation, showing quadratic cumulative error in fixed leap rules over millennia.

Why it matters

This work offers precise calculations for various tropical year lengths, crucial for refining calendar leap rules. It also clarifies the underlying derivations of solar theory coefficients. Furthermore, it demonstrates the inevitable long-term error in any fixed intercalation system.

Original Abstract

We compute the mean interval between successive returns of the apparent geocentric solar longitude $λ$ to a fixed value $L \in \{0^\circ, 45^\circ, 90^\circ, \ldots, 315^\circ\}$, averaged over a multi-millennium window; this gives eight ``mean years'' against which calendar leap rules can be tuned: four cardinal-point years (equinoxes and solstices); four cross-quarter years. The construction is built on Meeus's low-precision solar theory (Astronomical Algorithms, 2nd ed., 1998), itself a low-order truncation of Newcomb's Tables of the Sun, re-expanded around J2000.0. Where Meeus presents polynomial coefficients without justification, we draw on Smart's Textbook on Spherical Astronomy (6th ed., revised by Green, 1977) for the underlying derivations. Numerical accuracy is validated against the cardinal-point intervals tabulated in Meeus, More Mathematical Morsels, 2002. We close with a derivation of the secular drift equation, showing that, regardless of how well a leap rule is tuned, the slow shrinkage of the tropical year produces a quadratic cumulative error that reaches one day in $\sim$57,000 years for any fixed intercalation rule.

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