ArXiv TLDR

Bootstrap Inference in Nonlinear Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects

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2604.26826

Haoyuan Xu, Wei Miao, Geert Dhaene, Jad Beyhum

econ.EMstat.ME

TLDR

This paper demonstrates that parametric bootstrap provides valid inference and improved finite-sample performance for nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects.

Key contributions

  • Shows parametric bootstrap enables valid inference in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects.
  • Proves bootstrap replicates MLE's asymptotic distribution, yielding unbiased estimates and correct confidence sets.
  • Introduces a transformation-based bootstrap confidence interval for improved finite-sample performance.

Why it matters

The maximum likelihood estimator in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects is known to be biased. This paper provides a robust and theoretically sound bootstrap method for valid inference, offering a valuable alternative to existing bias correction techniques. Its improved finite-sample performance makes it highly practical for empirical researchers.

Original Abstract

The maximum likelihood estimator in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects is biased. Several bias correction methods, such as analytical and jackknife approaches, have been proposed to enable valid inference. This paper shows that the parametric bootstrap also enables valid inference in such models. In particular, we show that the parametric bootstrap replicates the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator. Therefore, it yields asymptotically unbiased estimates and confidence sets with asymptotically correct coverage. We also propose a transformation-based bootstrap confidence interval that delivers improved finite-sample performance. Simulation results support the theoretical findings. Finally, we apply the proposed method to examine technological and product market spillover effects on firms' innovation behavior.

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