ArXiv TLDR

Average Marginal Effects in One-Step Partially Linear Instrumental Regressions

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2604.11393

Lucas Girard, Elia Lapenta

econ.EMmath.ST

TLDR

This paper introduces a novel RKHS-based method for estimating and inferring average marginal effects in partially linear instrumental regressions.

Key contributions

  • Introduces a novel RKHS-based procedure for estimating average marginal effects in partially linear instrumental regressions.
  • Achieves consistency and asymptotic normality for the proposed estimator with a single regularization parameter.
  • Develops a valid Bayesian bootstrap method for inference, addressing the complex variance of the limiting distribution.
  • Demonstrates strong finite-sample performance and practical utility through simulations and empirical applications.

Why it matters

This paper offers a robust and practical solution for estimating average marginal effects in complex econometric models. Its novel RKHS approach and valid Bayesian bootstrap inference simplify a challenging estimation problem, making it accessible for empirical research. The method's ease of implementation and strong performance are significant for applied econometrics.

Original Abstract

We propose a novel procedure for estimating and conducting inference on average marginal effects in partially linear instrumental regressions using Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space methods. Our procedure relies on a single regularization parameter. We obtain the consistency and asymptotic normality of our estimator. Since the variance of the limiting distribution has a complex analytical form, we propose a Bayesian bootstrap method to conduct inference and establish its validity. Our procedure is easy to implement and exhibits good finite-sample performance in simulations. Three empirical applications illustrate its implementation on real data, showing that it yields economically meaningful results.

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